Jul 20, 2024

Financial Planning Assumptions (Market Capitalization Weighted Portfolio)

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Data Update: Mid-year 2024
Published: Summer 2024

This guide is intended to provide Canadian financial planners with our best estimates of future asset class returns and volatilities to produce financial projections for their clients. This document assumes that investors hold a broadly diversified portfolio of publicly traded Canadian fixed-income and global equity, including developed and emerging markets. These estimates are valid uniquely in the context of an investor who purposely avoids concentration in one or a few securities or sectors. Our investment horizon is 30 years. Key inputs are highlighted in green for the Naviplan financial planning software users. We also have added an appendix to provide users of Naviplan with data presented in a more user-friendly format.

Table of Contents
  1. Introduction
  2. Expected Inflation
  3. Primary Residence
  4. Expected Cost of Borrowing
  5. Asset Class Expected Returns
  6. Expected Standard Deviations
  7. Expected Correlations
  8. Composition of Asset Class Returns
  9. Portfolio Expected Returns, Standard Deviations, and Return Composition
  10. Appendix: Financial Planning Assumptions – Naviplan Input Format

Financial Planning Assumptions – (Market Capitalization Weighted Portfolio)

Raymond Kerzérho
Raymond Kerzérho

Raymond is the Senior Researcher, and Head, Shared Services Research at PWL Capital. He rigorously analyzes PWL’s investment strategies and makes sure they are well supported by academic research. Raymond has worked extensively as an institutional portfolio manager, with a particular focus on fixed-income securities and derivative products.

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